http://campaign2012.washingtonexaminer.com/blogs/beltway-confidential/gallup-state-numbers-predict-huge-obama-loss/352881
Gallup released their annual state-by-state presidential approval numbers yesterday, and the results should have 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue very worried. If President Obama carries only those states where he had a net positive approval rating in 2011 (e.g. Michigan where he is up 48 percent to 44 percent), Obama would lose the 2012 election to the Republican nominee 323 electoral votes to 215.
Gallup adds:
Overall, Obama averaged 44% job approval in his third year in office, down from 47% in his second year. His approval rating declined from 2010 to 2011 in most states, with Wyoming, Connecticut, and Maine showing a marginal increase, and Massachusetts, Wisconsin, Minnesota, New Jersey, Arizona, West Virginia, Michigan, and Georgia showing declines of less than a full percentage point. The greatest declines were in Hawaii, South Dakota, Nebraska, and New Mexico.
The only way Obama can win a second term is if his opponent is a Republican.
AntwortenLöschenGiggle - good one!
AntwortenLöschenI guess he is unbeatable then right?
With these opponents... what do you expect, miracles?
AntwortenLöschenI didn't say he would win, I was talking about the only way he could win. The only reason he has a chance is because of his opponents.
AntwortenLöschenthanks for the morning grin - your crystal ball is very clear
AntwortenLöschenThe Gallup article does not make the predictions the Examiner editorial claims it does.
AntwortenLöschenFurthermore while Obama doesn't have a great showing against a "generic Republican" he is fortunate that he gets to run against an actual candidate. The head-to-head polls against Romney (or frankly anyone else) are much more favourable to Obama.
Gee - that's a lot of RED up there. I wonder why? I kept hearing after 2008 from the left that the republican party was dead.
AntwortenLöschen*scratches head*
cstefan - You are aware that Patty Murray is mentally retarded right?
News Flash Randy: Those are Obama's numbers, not Republican numbers. There is a good section of the Democratic Party that is none too pleased with him at this point either. Nice though, if you paint a chart red that must mean a Republican resurgence. Actually what we are all looking for is a viable third party. Perhaps you should throw another color on there.
AntwortenLöschenI guess you are right. I mean republicans did horrible in the 2010 mid terms.
AntwortenLöschenYou can stick a fork in them I guess..........
The Republicans lost in 2008 because people were disgusted with them. The Democrats lost in 2010 because people were disgusted with them. I'm not seeing any love for either party these days. I think you need to harpoon both parties and start over.
AntwortenLöschenRon Paul? Is that you? DIIO you need to get over your third party fixation. Like or not we have a two party system. This is not 1850 where the Whig Party can pull off an upset!
AntwortenLöschenWe need people to change the parties. This is much more likely than a new party emerging.
Actually the last time a major party got thrashed was much later than that Randy. The Bull Moose Party clobbered the Republican Party, though they couldn't beat out Woodrow Wilson. Pity. And Ross Perot didn't do too shabbily with the Reform Party, he got 17% of the vote despite dropping out of the race once, and picking a vegitable for his VP when he started running again.
AntwortenLöschenI'd say the time is pretty ripe for a new party to emerge to challenge the two corporate parties.
Randy, the person that made that map is engaging in wishful thinking not an analysis based on data.
AntwortenLöschenIn an actual contest with Obama against an actual candidate the race is much closer and slightly favours Obama based on current polls.
As for Patty Murray, I'll agree she's not the smartest tool in the shed. Then again Maria Cantwell is probably smarter than any two people here put together. In any case what does that have to do with anything?
Go back to the party of Eisenhower or Rockefeller and I'll consider it. On the other hand I simply cannot stand the sort of candidates who run under the GOP label these days.
AntwortenLöschenThere really needs to be a party for fiscal conservatives who are not also social conservatives. Yeah, I want small government. No, I don't want that small government dictating my moral behavior.
AntwortenLöschenThere is always the FREE STUFF party. Hell - you live in Seattle. You have to be a democrat anyway.
AntwortenLöschenEXACTLY!!!
AntwortenLöschenWell said!
Put the bottle down, Randy.
AntwortenLöschenYou're trolling again.
But then i guess that's all you can do given the pathetic slate of candidates on your side.
It must be disheartening.
I mean really... is this the best you all could dredge up?
I think O's chances are looking better the more those clowns talk.
I just find it incomprehensible that a great country like America can't come up with anything better than a grinning corporate parasite who epitomises all that is wrong with the capitalist system such as Mittens Romney, Gingrich ('nuff said) Ron Paul who is too old, and too way out to win, and Santorum who is a religious nutbag.
AntwortenLöschenNot that I am particularly impressed with Obama, but if these bozos are the best the GOP can "dredge up" they really are scraping the barrel!
How about Palin? At least she is amusing in small doses or has she passed her sell-by date?
Sheesh!
Could not agree more.
AntwortenLöschenHey blackrat62 tell us all what exactly Obama's qualifications were to be president in 2008?
He wasn't Bush.
AntwortenLöschenFair enough. So the republican candidates are not Obama - what is the problem?
AntwortenLöschenThey aren't Bush either. More specifically, they aren't Ronald Reagan. ;)
AntwortenLöschenYou're wasting your breath Randy, I am not voting for Romney period.
AntwortenLöschenYou voting for Obama?
AntwortenLöschenNope. Crazy old uncle Ron.
AntwortenLöschenThat and the fact that he wasn't a Republican were good enough for me.
AntwortenLöschenTell me the Cons wouldn't say exactly the same thing this year.
You even have one of them posting a blog saying exactly that.
I just wish they would spare us the sanctimony.. as if ANY of their choices has any other attraction for them.
Romney is an out of touch Elitist, just as they claimed Obama was/is
AntwortenLöschenHypocrisy much?
At least admit the only thing he's got going for him is that he's not Obama.
Anything else is a baldfaced LIE!
P.S. I have it on good authority that Romney exhibits all the signs of Aspergers Syndrome.
Not sure if that would disqualify him per se, but it adds to his negatives for me.
So you are not voting since Ron will not run on a third party ticket and has no chance to get the GOP nod.
AntwortenLöschenIt's all a game anyway. Why not vote your conscious?
AntwortenLöschenI do.
AntwortenLöschenWrite in. I think I can remember how to spell "Ron Paul" without writing it on my wrist...
AntwortenLöschenA protest vote. Got it. It saves you from having to make a real choice.
AntwortenLöschenThere isn't a real choice to make. Romney is no different from Obama on the important issues, and I don't consider abortion to be an important issue or I would be voting Obama.
AntwortenLöschenI'd think about voting Gingrich, and if another person steps in before the end of the nomination process I will take a look at them. But I will not vote for Romney or Santorum period.
It isn't not about not making a real choice, it's about making one. You aren't making a real choice, not me.
The only "real choice" any of us is making is Democrat vs Republican. The actual candidate hardly matters at this point.
AntwortenLöschenI can't think of one who'd satisfy all or most of my wishes, and i'm positive the Republicans can't either.
Again they're simply voting AGAINST Obama, and i'm voting AGAINST Republicans.
Bernie Sanders would come closest for me... IF he was running.
That still doesn't change the fact that Romney is a lying sack of crap who would sell his own mother if he thought it would help him win an election. (not that this makes him different from most politicians)
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